Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.