Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Caen had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grenoble would win this match.
