Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 58.48%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Caen had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Troyes in this match.