Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 38.79%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 2-1 (6.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.12%), while for a Sochaux win it was 0-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
