Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 1-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
