Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 41.4%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 29.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 1-0 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nancy would win this match.
