Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
