Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
