Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Angers had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
-0.56) 
0.24) 
