Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.18) 
