Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
1) 
-1.03) 
