Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Angers had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.