Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
Dunkerque	Draw	Bastia
32.92% ( 0.01)	27.3% ( -0)	39.79% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.55% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.11% (

0.01)

55.89% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23% (

0.01)

77% (

-0.01)

Dunkerque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32% (

0.01)

31.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.9% (

0.01)

68.1% (

-0.01)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.53% (

27.47% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.04%

62.96% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Dunkerque 32.92%

Bastia 39.78%

Draw 27.29%

Dunkerque	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.92%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 11.24% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 7.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.78%