Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.05) 
