Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.
