Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Grenoble win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.