Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 42.92%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
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