Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.