Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0) 
-0.01) 
