Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.