Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.07) 
