Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 43.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 28.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.