Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.17%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (12.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.
