Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 45.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.