Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
-0.79) 
0.99) 
