Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
0.69) 
-0.92) 
