Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
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