Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sochaux in this match.
