SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Ajaccio |
56.67% ( -0.03) | 24.15% ( 0.02) | 19.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.99% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.63% ( -0.04) | 53.36% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% ( -0.04) | 74.9% ( 0.04) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( -0.03) | 18.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.97% ( -0.05) | 50.03% ( 0.05) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.78% ( -0.01) | 42.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.38% ( -0.01) | 78.62% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.66% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.17% |
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