Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 34.8%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.82%) and 1-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (13.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.