Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.64%) and 1-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.