SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 36%. A win for Caen had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Le Havre |
| 34.57% | 29.44% | 36% |
| Both teams to score 43.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.69% | 63.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.31% | 82.69% |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% | 34.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.87% | 71.13% |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% | 33.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.9% | 70.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.56% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.42% | 0-1 @ 12.6% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.99% |
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