Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 36%. A win for Caen had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.