Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 35.41%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (12.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
