Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
-0.78) 
0.79) 
