SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Brest |
35.35% ( -0.02) | 26.08% ( -0.01) | 38.57% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% ( 0.02) | 50.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( 0.02) | 72.49% ( -0.02) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( -0) | 27.51% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.98% ( -0.01) | 63.01% ( 0) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( 0.02) | 25.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.43% ( 0.03) | 60.57% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.57% |
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