Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
