SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Martigues had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Martigues win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lorient in this match.
| Result | ||
| Martigues | Draw | Lorient |
27.44% ( 0.89) | 24.44% ( -0.12) | 48.11% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.48% ( 1.18) | 46.52% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.21% ( 1.09) | 68.79% ( -1.09) |
| Martigues Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( 1.3) | 30.77% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( 1.51) | 67.04% ( -1.51) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% ( 0.15) | 19.41% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.77% ( 0.25) | 51.22% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Martigues | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.44% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.12% |
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