Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Grenoble win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.