Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
-2.16) 
2.28) 
