Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Martigues had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Martigues win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
0.2) 
-0.39) 
