Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Nancy had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Nancy win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
