Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for FC Chambly had a probability of 15.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a FC Chambly win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
