Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Pau had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
