Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 46.89%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Pau had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
-0.85) 
0.23) 
