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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 8
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari

Bastia
1 - 4
Pau

Conte (62')
Roncaglia (48'), Maggiotti (85')
Santelli (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Saivet (27', 79'), Bassouamina (54'), Njoh (82')
Koudou (40'), Ruiz (80'), Njoh (85')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 2-0 Bastia
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 0-3 Annecy
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Pau had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawPau
56.22% (0.112 0.11) 24.63% (0.179 0.18) 19.15% (-0.286 -0.29)
Both teams to score 45.64% (-0.92 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.86% (-0.994 -0.99)55.14% (0.996 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61% (-0.823 -0.82)76.39% (0.827 0.83)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (-0.336 -0.34)19.54% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.56% (-0.556 -0.56)51.44% (0.559 0.56)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.72% (-0.902 -0.9)43.28% (0.906 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.48% (-0.766 -0.77)79.52% (0.767 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 56.21%
    Pau 19.15%
    Draw 24.62%
BastiaDrawPau
1-0 @ 13.8% (0.38 0.38)
2-0 @ 11.27% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 56.21%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.321 0.32)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.097 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Bastia
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 0-3 Laval
Saturday, September 16 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Grenoble 0-0 Bastia
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 3-2 Troyes
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Amiens 2-1 Bastia
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 3-0 Valenciennes
Saturday, August 12 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 0-3 Annecy
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Pau
Saturday, September 16 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 2-2 Rodez AF
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Guingamp 4-0 Pau
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 2-0 Paris FC
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 2-0 Pau
Saturday, August 12 at 6pm in Ligue 2


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