Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 52.54%. A win for Angers had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
-0.51) 
0.32) 
