Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 52.54%. A win for Angers had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Angers |
52.54% ( -0.51) | 23.65% ( 0.32) | 23.81% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 54.84% ( -0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.88% ( -1.22) | 46.12% ( 1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.58% ( -1.16) | 68.42% ( 1.16) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.47% ( -0.64) | 17.53% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.94% ( -1.12) | 48.05% ( 1.12) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.49% ( -0.5) | 33.5% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.85% ( -0.55) | 70.14% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.71% Total : 52.53% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 23.81% |
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