Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 42.78%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 27.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pau in this match.
