Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.