Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 73.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Pau had a probability of 9.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 3-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.