SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 73.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Pau had a probability of 9.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 3-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Pau |
| 73.25% | 16.93% | 9.82% |
| Both teams to score 45.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% | 42.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.43% | 64.56% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.96% | 10.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.88% | 33.11% |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.76% | 49.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.87% | 84.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Pau |
| 2-0 @ 13.06% 1-0 @ 11.36% 3-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 7.09% 4-0 @ 5.75% 4-1 @ 4.08% 5-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.51% 5-1 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.44% 6-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.15% Total : 73.24% | 1-1 @ 8.05% 0-0 @ 4.94% 2-2 @ 3.28% Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.93% | 0-1 @ 3.5% 1-2 @ 2.85% 0-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.23% Total : 9.82% |
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