Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Pau had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
