Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.07) 
